The AI Security Institute (AISI) is a research organisation under the Department for Science, Innovation and Technology, UK, that aims "to equip governments with a scientific understanding of the risks posed by advanced AI". It conducts research and develop and test mitigations. Previously, it was known as the AI Safety Institute. Its creation followed world's first major AI Safety Summit that was held in Bletchley Park in 2023. The institute's professed goal is "building the world's leading understanding of advanced AI risks and solutions, to inform governments so they can keep the public safe". It is designed like a startup in the government "combining the authority of government with the expertise and agility of the private sector". AISI has made access agreements with Anthropic, Google and OpenAI to test their models before release. It has an open source platform called Inspect that permits companies, governments and academics to run standardised safety tests for AI usage. Among the works AISI has done is the reported detection of multiple serious vulnerabilities that could enable development of biological weapons; the vulnerabilities were fixed before the model was launched. It conducts research on diverse fields of AI application. One study by AISI found that LLMs post-trained for political persuasiveness became systematically less accurate and up to 51% more persuasive on political issues. AISI has also worked on the usage of AI for emotional needs. It found that nearly 10 percent of UK citizens used systems like chatbots for emotional purposes on a weekly basis. It found that "systems are now outperforming PhD-level researchers on scientific knowledge tests and helping non-experts succeed at lab work that would previously have been out of reach" in a report published in December 2025. Former chief AI officer of GCHQ Adam Beaumont is the institution's interim director. UK prime minister's AI advisor Jade Leung is the chief technology officer.
Web Intents
Web Intents was an experimental framework for web-based inter-application communication and service discovery. Web Intents consists of a discovery mechanism and a very light-weight RPC system between web applications, modelled after the Intents system in Android. In the context of the framework an Intent equals an action to be performed by a provider. Web Intents allow two web applications to communicate with each other, without either of them having to actually know what the other one is. == Support == === Client === Google Chrome versions 18 to 23 natively supported Web Intents. This support was disabled in version 24, citing the existence of a "number of areas for development in both the API and specific user experience in Chrome". There is a JavaScript shim with support for IE 8, IE 9, Opera, Safari, Firefox 3+ and Chrome 3+. === Server === There are some Web Intents proxy pages that make available some real services that don't yet support intents. AddThis supports Web Intents by their sharing tools regardless of browser support. == History == Paul Kinlan of Google announced the Web Intents project in December 2010. He soon released a prototype API to GitHub. In August 2011 Google announced that Chrome would support Web Intents. Google and Mozilla have started co-operating to unify Web Intents and Mozilla's Web Activities (which tries to solve the same problem) into one proposal. In November 2012, Greg Billock of Google announced that experimental support of Web Intents had been removed from Chrome.
Out-of-bag error
Out-of-bag (OOB) error, also called out-of-bag estimate, is a method of measuring the prediction error of random forests, boosted decision trees, and other machine learning models utilizing bootstrap aggregating (bagging). Bagging uses subsampling with replacement to create training samples for the model to learn from. OOB error is the mean prediction error on each training sample xi, using only the trees that did not have xi in their bootstrap sample. Bootstrap aggregating allows one to define an out-of-bag estimate of the prediction performance improvement by evaluating predictions on those observations that were not used in the building of the next base learner. == Out-of-bag dataset == When bootstrap aggregating is performed, two independent sets are created. One set, the bootstrap sample, is the data chosen to be "in-the-bag" by sampling with replacement. The out-of-bag set is all data not chosen in the sampling process. When this process is repeated, such as when building a random forest, many bootstrap samples and OOB sets are created. The OOB sets can be aggregated into one dataset, but each sample is only considered out-of-bag for the trees that do not include it in their bootstrap sample. The picture below shows that for each bag sampled, the data is separated into two groups. This example shows how bagging could be used in the context of diagnosing disease. A set of patients are the original dataset, but each model is trained only by the patients in its bag. The patients in each out-of-bag set can be used to test their respective models. The test would consider whether the model can accurately determine if the patient has the disease. == Calculating out-of-bag error == Since each out-of-bag set is not used to train the model, it is a good test for the performance of the model. The specific calculation of OOB error depends on the implementation of the model, but a general calculation is as follows. Find all models (or trees, in the case of a random forest) that are not trained by the OOB instance. Take the majority vote of these models' result for the OOB instance, compared to the true value of the OOB instance. Compile the OOB error for all instances in the OOB dataset. The bagging process can be customized to fit the needs of a model. To ensure an accurate model, the bootstrap training sample size should be close to that of the original set. Also, the number of iterations (trees) of the model (forest) should be considered to find the true OOB error. The OOB error will stabilize over many iterations so starting with a high number of iterations is a good idea. Shown in the example to the right, the OOB error can be found using the method above once the forest is set up. == Comparison to cross-validation == Out-of-bag error and cross-validation (CV) are different methods of measuring the error estimate of a machine learning model. Over many iterations, the two methods should produce a very similar error estimate. That is, once the OOB error stabilizes, it will converge to the cross-validation (specifically leave-one-out cross-validation) error. The advantage of the OOB method is that it requires less computation and allows one to test the model as it is being trained. == Accuracy and Consistency == Out-of-bag error is used frequently for error estimation within random forests but with the conclusion of a study done by Silke Janitza and Roman Hornung, out-of-bag error has shown to overestimate in settings that include an equal number of observations from all response classes (balanced samples), small sample sizes, a large number of predictor variables, small correlation between predictors, and weak effects.
Jackknife variance estimates for random forest
In statistics, jackknife variance estimates for random forest are a way to estimate the variance in random forest models, in order to eliminate the bootstrap effects. == Jackknife variance estimates == The sampling variance of bagged learners is: V ( x ) = V a r [ θ ^ ∞ ( x ) ] {\displaystyle V(x)=Var[{\hat {\theta }}^{\infty }(x)]} Jackknife estimates can be considered to eliminate the bootstrap effects. The jackknife variance estimator is defined as: V ^ j = n − 1 n ∑ i = 1 n ( θ ^ ( − i ) − θ ¯ ) 2 {\displaystyle {\hat {V}}_{j}={\frac {n-1}{n}}\sum _{i=1}^{n}({\hat {\theta }}_{(-i)}-{\overline {\theta }})^{2}} In some classification problems, when random forest is used to fit models, jackknife estimated variance is defined as: V ^ j = n − 1 n ∑ i = 1 n ( t ¯ ( − i ) ⋆ ( x ) − t ¯ ⋆ ( x ) ) 2 {\displaystyle {\hat {V}}_{j}={\frac {n-1}{n}}\sum _{i=1}^{n}({\overline {t}}_{(-i)}^{\star }(x)-{\overline {t}}^{\star }(x))^{2}} Here, t ⋆ {\displaystyle t^{\star }} denotes a decision tree after training, t ( − i ) ⋆ {\displaystyle t_{(-i)}^{\star }} denotes the result based on samples without i t h {\displaystyle ith} observation. == Examples == E-mail spam problem is a common classification problem, in this problem, 57 features are used to classify spam e-mail and non-spam e-mail. Applying IJ-U variance formula to evaluate the accuracy of models with m=15,19 and 57. The results shows in paper( Confidence Intervals for Random Forests: The jackknife and the Infinitesimal Jackknife ) that m = 57 random forest appears to be quite unstable, while predictions made by m=5 random forest appear to be quite stable, this results is corresponding to the evaluation made by error percentage, in which the accuracy of model with m=5 is high and m=57 is low. Here, accuracy is measured by error rate, which is defined as: E r r o r R a t e = 1 N ∑ i = 1 N ∑ j = 1 M y i j , {\displaystyle ErrorRate={\frac {1}{N}}\sum _{i=1}^{N}\sum _{j=1}^{M}y_{ij},} Here N is also the number of samples, M is the number of classes, y i j {\displaystyle y_{ij}} is the indicator function which equals 1 when i t h {\displaystyle ith} observation is in class j, equals 0 when in other classes. No probability is considered here. There is another method which is similar to error rate to measure accuracy: l o g l o s s = 1 N ∑ i = 1 N ∑ j = 1 M y i j l o g ( p i j ) {\displaystyle logloss={\frac {1}{N}}\sum _{i=1}^{N}\sum _{j=1}^{M}y_{ij}log(p_{ij})} Here N is the number of samples, M is the number of classes, y i j {\displaystyle y_{ij}} is the indicator function which equals 1 when i t h {\displaystyle ith} observation is in class j, equals 0 when in other classes. p i j {\displaystyle p_{ij}} is the predicted probability of i t h {\displaystyle ith} observation in class j {\displaystyle j} .This method is used in Kaggle These two methods are very similar. == Modification for bias == When using Monte Carlo MSEs for estimating V I J ∞ {\displaystyle V_{IJ}^{\infty }} and V J ∞ {\displaystyle V_{J}^{\infty }} , a problem about the Monte Carlo bias should be considered, especially when n is large, the bias is getting large: E [ V ^ I J B ] − V ^ I J ∞ ≈ n ∑ b = 1 B ( t b ⋆ − t ¯ ⋆ ) 2 B {\displaystyle E[{\hat {V}}_{IJ}^{B}]-{\hat {V}}_{IJ}^{\infty }\approx {\frac {n\sum _{b=1}^{B}(t_{b}^{\star }-{\bar {t}}^{\star })^{2}}{B}}} To eliminate this influence, bias-corrected modifications are suggested: V ^ I J − U B = V ^ I J B − n ∑ b = 1 B ( t b ⋆ − t ¯ ⋆ ) 2 B {\displaystyle {\hat {V}}_{IJ-U}^{B}={\hat {V}}_{IJ}^{B}-{\frac {n\sum _{b=1}^{B}(t_{b}^{\star }-{\bar {t}}^{\star })^{2}}{B}}} V ^ J − U B = V ^ J B − ( e − 1 ) n ∑ b = 1 B ( t b ⋆ − t ¯ ⋆ ) 2 B {\displaystyle {\hat {V}}_{J-U}^{B}={\hat {V}}_{J}^{B}-(e-1){\frac {n\sum _{b=1}^{B}(t_{b}^{\star }-{\bar {t}}^{\star })^{2}}{B}}}
Online machine learning
In computer science, online machine learning is a method of machine learning in which data becomes available in a sequential order and is used to update the best predictor for future data at each step, as opposed to batch learning techniques which generate the best predictor by learning on the entire training data set at once. Online learning is a common technique used in areas of machine learning where it is computationally infeasible to train over the entire dataset, requiring the need of out-of-core algorithms. It is also used in situations where it is necessary for the algorithm to dynamically adapt to new patterns in the data, or when the data itself is generated as a function of time, e.g., prediction of prices in the financial international markets. Online learning algorithms may be prone to catastrophic interference, a problem that can be addressed by incremental learning approaches. Online machine learning algorithms find applications in a wide variety of fields such as sponsored search to maximize ad revenue, portfolio optimization, shortest path prediction (with stochastic weights, e.g. traffic on roads for a maps application), spam filtering, real-time fraud detection, dynamic pricing for e-commerce, etc. There is also growing interest in usage of online learning paradigms for LLMs to enable continuous, real-time adaptation after the initial training. == Introduction == In the setting of supervised learning, a function of f : X → Y {\displaystyle f:X\to Y} is to be learned, where X {\displaystyle X} is thought of as a space of inputs and Y {\displaystyle Y} as a space of outputs, that predicts well on instances that are drawn from a joint probability distribution p ( x , y ) {\displaystyle p(x,y)} on X × Y {\displaystyle X\times Y} . In reality, the learner never knows the true distribution p ( x , y ) {\displaystyle p(x,y)} over instances. Instead, the learner usually has access to a training set of examples ( x 1 , y 1 ) , … , ( x n , y n ) {\displaystyle (x_{1},y_{1}),\ldots ,(x_{n},y_{n})} . In this setting, the loss function is given as V : Y × Y → R {\displaystyle V:Y\times Y\to \mathbb {R} } , such that V ( f ( x ) , y ) {\displaystyle V(f(x),y)} measures the difference between the predicted value f ( x ) {\displaystyle f(x)} and the true value y {\displaystyle y} . The ideal goal is to select a function f ∈ H {\displaystyle f\in {\mathcal {H}}} , where H {\displaystyle {\mathcal {H}}} is a space of functions called a hypothesis space, so that some notion of total loss is minimized. Depending on the type of model (statistical or adversarial), one can devise different notions of loss, which lead to different learning algorithms. == Statistical view of online learning == In statistical learning models, the training sample ( x i , y i ) {\displaystyle (x_{i},y_{i})} are assumed to have been drawn from the true distribution p ( x , y ) {\displaystyle p(x,y)} and the objective is to minimize the expected "risk" I [ f ] = E [ V ( f ( x ) , y ) ] = ∫ V ( f ( x ) , y ) d p ( x , y ) . {\displaystyle I[f]=\mathbb {E} [V(f(x),y)]=\int V(f(x),y)\,dp(x,y)\ .} A common paradigm in this situation is to estimate a function f ^ {\displaystyle {\hat {f}}} through empirical risk minimization or regularized empirical risk minimization (usually Tikhonov regularization). The choice of loss function here gives rise to several well-known learning algorithms such as regularized least squares and support vector machines. A purely online model in this category would learn based on just the new input ( x t + 1 , y t + 1 ) {\displaystyle (x_{t+1},y_{t+1})} , the current best predictor f t {\displaystyle f_{t}} and some extra stored information (which is usually expected to have storage requirements independent of training data size). For many formulations, for example nonlinear kernel methods, true online learning is not possible, though a form of hybrid online learning with recursive algorithms can be used where f t + 1 {\displaystyle f_{t+1}} is permitted to depend on f t {\displaystyle f_{t}} and all previous data points ( x 1 , y 1 ) , … , ( x t , y t ) {\displaystyle (x_{1},y_{1}),\ldots ,(x_{t},y_{t})} . In this case, the space requirements are no longer guaranteed to be constant since it requires storing all previous data points, but the solution may take less time to compute with the addition of a new data point, as compared to batch learning techniques. A common strategy to overcome the above issues is to learn using mini-batches, which process a small batch of b ≥ 1 {\displaystyle b\geq 1} data points at a time, this can be considered as pseudo-online learning for b {\displaystyle b} much smaller than the total number of training points. Mini-batch techniques are used with repeated passing over the training data to obtain optimized out-of-core versions of machine learning algorithms, for example, stochastic gradient descent. When combined with backpropagation, this is currently the de facto training method for training artificial neural networks. === Example: linear least squares === The simple example of linear least squares is used to explain a variety of ideas in online learning. The ideas are general enough to be applied to other settings, for example, with other convex loss functions. === Batch learning === Consider the setting of supervised learning with f {\displaystyle f} being a linear function to be learned: f ( x j ) = ⟨ w , x j ⟩ = w ⋅ x j {\displaystyle f(x_{j})=\langle w,x_{j}\rangle =w\cdot x_{j}} where x j ∈ R d {\displaystyle x_{j}\in \mathbb {R} ^{d}} is a vector of inputs (data points) and w ∈ R d {\displaystyle w\in \mathbb {R} ^{d}} is a linear filter vector. The goal is to compute the filter vector w {\displaystyle w} . To this end, a square loss function V ( f ( x j ) , y j ) = ( f ( x j ) − y j ) 2 = ( ⟨ w , x j ⟩ − y j ) 2 {\displaystyle V(f(x_{j}),y_{j})=(f(x_{j})-y_{j})^{2}=(\langle w,x_{j}\rangle -y_{j})^{2}} is used to compute the vector w {\displaystyle w} that minimizes the empirical loss I n [ w ] = ∑ j = 1 n V ( ⟨ w , x j ⟩ , y j ) = ∑ j = 1 n ( x j T w − y j ) 2 {\displaystyle I_{n}[w]=\sum _{j=1}^{n}V(\langle w,x_{j}\rangle ,y_{j})=\sum _{j=1}^{n}(x_{j}^{\mathsf {T}}w-y_{j})^{2}} where y j ∈ R . {\displaystyle y_{j}\in \mathbb {R} .} Let X {\displaystyle X} be the i × d {\displaystyle i\times d} data matrix and y ∈ R i {\displaystyle y\in \mathbb {R} ^{i}} is the column vector of target values after the arrival of the first i {\displaystyle i} data points. Assuming that the covariance matrix Σ i = X T X {\displaystyle \Sigma _{i}=X^{\mathsf {T}}X} is invertible (otherwise it is preferential to proceed in a similar fashion with Tikhonov regularization), the best solution f ∗ ( x ) = ⟨ w ∗ , x ⟩ {\displaystyle f^{}(x)=\langle w^{},x\rangle } to the linear least squares problem is given by w ∗ = ( X T X ) − 1 X T y = Σ i − 1 ∑ j = 1 i x j y j . {\displaystyle w^{}=(X^{\mathsf {T}}X)^{-1}X^{\mathsf {T}}y=\Sigma _{i}^{-1}\sum _{j=1}^{i}x_{j}y_{j}.} Now, calculating the covariance matrix Σ i = ∑ j = 1 i x j x j T {\displaystyle \Sigma _{i}=\sum _{j=1}^{i}x_{j}x_{j}^{\mathsf {T}}} takes time O ( i d 2 ) {\displaystyle O(id^{2})} , inverting the d × d {\displaystyle d\times d} matrix takes time O ( d 3 ) {\displaystyle O(d^{3})} , while the rest of the multiplication takes time O ( d 2 ) {\displaystyle O(d^{2})} , giving a total time of O ( i d 2 + d 3 ) {\displaystyle O(id^{2}+d^{3})} . When there are n {\displaystyle n} total points in the dataset, to recompute the solution after the arrival of every datapoint i = 1 , … , n {\displaystyle i=1,\ldots ,n} , the naive approach will have a total complexity O ( n 2 d 2 + n d 3 ) {\displaystyle O(n^{2}d^{2}+nd^{3})} . Note that when storing the matrix Σ i {\displaystyle \Sigma _{i}} , then updating it at each step needs only adding x i + 1 x i + 1 T {\displaystyle x_{i+1}x_{i+1}^{\mathsf {T}}} , which takes O ( d 2 ) {\displaystyle O(d^{2})} time, reducing the total time to O ( n d 2 + n d 3 ) = O ( n d 3 ) {\displaystyle O(nd^{2}+nd^{3})=O(nd^{3})} , but with an additional storage space of O ( d 2 ) {\displaystyle O(d^{2})} to store Σ i {\displaystyle \Sigma _{i}} . === Online learning: recursive least squares === The recursive least squares (RLS) algorithm considers an online approach to the least squares problem. It can be shown that by initialising w 0 = 0 ∈ R d {\displaystyle \textstyle w_{0}=0\in \mathbb {R} ^{d}} and Γ 0 = I ∈ R d × d {\displaystyle \textstyle \Gamma _{0}=I\in \mathbb {R} ^{d\times d}} , the solution of the linear least squares problem given in the previous section can be computed by the following iteration: Γ i = Γ i − 1 − Γ i − 1 x i x i T Γ i − 1 1 + x i T Γ i − 1 x i {\displaystyle \Gamma _{i}=\Gamma _{i-1}-{\frac {\Gamma _{i-1}x_{i}x_{i}^{\mathsf {T}}\Gamma _{i-1}}{1+x_{i}^{\mathsf {T}}\Gamma _{i-1}x_{i}}}} w i = w i − 1 − Γ i x i ( x i T w i − 1 − y i ) {\displaystyle w_{i}=w_{i-1}-\Gamma _{i}x_{i}\left(x_{i}^{\mathsf {T}}w_{
Availability zone
In cloud computing, an availability region is a group of data centres that are located in the same geographical region. Availability regions comprise multiple availability zones, which are groups of data centres that are located far enough from each other to prevent large-scale outages in the event of failure of a single zone, whilst still being close enough to each other to enable low-latency connections. Distributed systems spanning multiple availability zones allow for high availability, even in the event of catastrophic failure, such as natural disasters. Services offering distinct availability zones include Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud.
Variable-order Bayesian network
Variable-order Bayesian network (VOBN) models provide an important extension of both the Bayesian network models and the variable-order Markov models. VOBN models are used in machine learning in general and have shown great potential in bioinformatics applications. These models extend the widely used position weight matrix (PWM) models, Markov models, and Bayesian network (BN) models. In contrast to the BN models, where each random variable depends on a fixed subset of random variables, in VOBN models these subsets may vary based on the specific realization of observed variables. The observed realizations are often called the context and, hence, VOBN models are also known as context-specific Bayesian networks. The flexibility in the definition of conditioning subsets of variables turns out to be a real advantage in classification and analysis applications, as the statistical dependencies between random variables in a sequence of variables (not necessarily adjacent) may be taken into account efficiently, and in a position-specific and context-specific manner.